اقتصاد فضا و توسعه روستایی

اقتصاد فضا و توسعه روستایی

شناسایی پیشران‌های کلیدی محلی موثر بر توسعه گردشگری با رویکرد آینده ‌پژوهی (مطالعه موردی: شهرستان فردوس)

نویسندگان
مسلم قاسمی
سعیده فخاری
احسان جعفری
دانشگاه خوارزمی
چکیده
هدف: این پژوهش با هدف شناسایی پیشران‌های کلیدی محلی موثر بر توسعه گردشگری در شهرستان فردوس در افق آینده 1414 با رویکرد آینده‌پژوهی انجام شده است.

روش پژوهش: نوع پژوهش از نظر هدف کاربردی و از نظر روش شناخت کمّی است. جامعه آماری شامل کارشناسان و مدیران حوزه گردشگری شهرستان فردوس بود که با استفاده از روش نمونه‌گیری گلوله‌ای و رسیدن به اشباع نظری، 30 نفر از آنان به‌عنوان نمونه انتخاب شدند. گردآوری داده‌ها با استفاده از پرسشنامه تأثیرات متقابل آینده‌پژوهی و مصاحبه‌های ساختاریافته انجام شد. داده‌ها با استفاده از مدل ساختاری MICMAC تجزیه و تحلیل شدند.

یافته‌ها: یافته‌های پژوهش نشان داد که از میان 15 پیشران شناسایی‌شده، مهم‌ترین پیشران‌های کلیدی داخلی (محلی) مؤثر بر توسعه گردشگری در شهرستان فردوس در افق 1414 ، ایجاد امنیت اجتماعی در مقصد و جاذبه‌های گردشگری ( 15 +) ،ترویج و حفظ صنایع دستی بومی-محلی( 11+)، توسعه زیرساخت‌های گردشگری محلی(7 + )، برندسازی و بازاریابی محصولات گردشگری محلی (7 + )، حفظ پتانسیل‌های تاریخی و میراث فرهنگی محلی(5 + )، سرمایه‌گذاری و تأمین منابع مالی گردشگری(1 + )، است.

نتیجه‌گیری: این پژوهش نسبت به مطالعات قبلی، ضمن به‌کارگیری رویکرد آینده‌پژوهی، پیشران‌های موثر بر توسعه گردشگری را در ابعاد محلی (داخلی) و فرامحلی مورد ارزیابی قرار داده است.
کلیدواژه‌ها
توسعه گردشگری
پیشران‌های محلی
آینده پژوهی
شهرستان فردوس

عنوان مقاله English

Identifying local key drivers effectively on tourism development with a future research approach (case study: Ferdous City)

نویسندگان English

Moslem Ghasemi
Saeedeh Fakhari
Ehsan Jafari
Kharazmi University
چکیده English

“Sustainable tourism development requires the identification of effective factors at various levels, especially at the local level. This study aims to identify key local drivers influencing tourism development in Ferdows County shortly (2014), adopting a futures studies approach. The research is applied in terms of purpose and quantitative in terms of methodology. The statistical population consisted of tourism experts and managers in Ferdows County, from which a sample of 30 individuals was selected using the snowball sampling technique and theoretical saturation. Data were collected through structured interviews and a future cross-impact questionnaire. The data were then analyzed using the structural-interpretive modeling approach (MICMAC analysis) via MICMAC software. Findings revealed that among the 15 identified local drivers, the most influential key internal (local) drivers of tourism development in Ferdows County by the year 1414 include: Enhancing social security at the destination and tourist attractions (+15), Promotion and preservation of indigenous handicrafts (+11), Development of local tourism infrastructure (+7), Branding and marketing of local tourism products (+7), Conservation of historical potentials and local cultural heritage (+5), Investment and financial resource allocation for tourism (+1). The innovation of this study, compared to previous research, lies in its application of a futures studies approach to evaluate both local (internal) and supralocal drivers influencing tourism development within a comprehensive framework

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Tourism Development
local drivers
future research
Ferdous city
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اقتصاد فضا و توسعه روستایی
دوره 0، شماره 0
زمستان 1404

  • تاریخ دریافت 18 خرداد 1405
  • تاریخ اولین انتشار 18 خرداد 1405