اقتصاد فضا و توسعه روستایی

اقتصاد فضا و توسعه روستایی

تحلیل اثرات تنوع معیشتی بر روی تاب‌آوری خانوارهای روستایی در مواجه با تغییرات آب و هوایی مطالعه موردی: روستاهای پیرا شهری شهر دهدشت

نویسندگان
1 دانشگاه شهید بهشتی
2 دانشگاه خوارزمی
چکیده
هدف: هدف تحقیق حاضر بررسی وضعیت تنوع معیشتی و اثرات آن برافزایش تاب‌آوری روستاهای موردمطالعه است.

روش پژوهش: نوع تحقیق کاربردی و ازنظر ماهیت توصیفی، تحلیلی می­باشد. روش گردآوری داده‌ها به­ صورت کتابخانه ­ای و میدانی (پرسشنامه و مشاهده) صورت گرفته و برای تجزیه‌وتحلیل داده‌ها از آمار توصیفی (میانگین و انحراف معیار) و آمار استنباطی (ضریب همبستگی پیرسون، T تک نمونه‌ای و تحلیل مسیر) استفاده‌شده است. جامعه آماری تحقیق خانوارهای روستاهای پیرا شهر شهر دهدشت می­ باشد. برای تعیین حجم نمونه روستاها به‌صورت تصادفی از فرمول کوکران 21 روستا تعیین گردیده است، روستاهای انتخاب‌شده دارای 3538 خانوار می‌باشد. برای محاسبه حجم نمونه در بین خانوارها با استفاده از فرمول کوکران تعداد 358 نمونه انتخاب و نمونه ­گیری به‌صورت تصادفی انجام‌شده است.

یافته‌ها: نتایج تحقیق نشان می ­دهد، بین تنوع معیشتی و تاب‌آوری خانوارهای روستایی رابطه مستقیم و معنادار وجود دارد، بر اساس ضریب همبستگی به‌دست‌آمده (799/0) و سطح معناداری آزمون (000/0) می ­توان گفت با افزایش تنوع معیشتی، تاب‌آوری خانوارهای روستایی در برابر خشکسالی افزایش پیدا می­ کند. همچنین نتایج حاصل از تحلیل مسیر نشان می­ دهد، ریسک پذیری با اثرات کلی 200/0 کمترین تأثیر و دارایی و پس انداز با اثرات کلی 479/0 بیشترین تأثیر را بر تاب‌آوری خانوارهای روستایی در منطقه مطالعه داشته است.

نتیجه‌گیری: افزایش تنوع معیشتی منجر به افزایش توانایی خانوارها در امر مقابله با تحولات ناشی از تغییرات آب و هوایی می‌شود.از این رو، اقداماتی که به تقویت تنوع معیشتی و در نتیجه تاب‌آوری خانوارهای روستایی منجر می‌شوند، باید از اولویت‌های برنامه‌های توسعه روستایی باشند. فعالیت‌هایی چون ترویج فنون کشاورزی متنوع، افزایش دسترسی به امکانات بیمه، تقویت سرمایه اجتماعی، ارتقاء فن‌آوری‌های کشاورزی و ترویج استفاده بهینه از منابع طبیعی، می‌توانند از جمله اقدامات مؤثر برای افزایش تنوع معیشتی و بهبود تاب‌آوری خانوارهای روستایی باشند.


کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله English

Analysis of the livelihood diversity effects on rural household resilience in the face of climate changeCase study: Suburban villages of Dehdasht city

نویسندگان English

soroush sanaei moghadam 1
ali akbar anabestanei 1
bijan rahmanei 1
farhad azizpour 2
1 Department of Human Geography, Faculty of Earth Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran.
2 Department of Human Geography, Faculty of Geographical Sciences, Kharazmi University, Tehran, Iran.
چکیده English

Objective: The purpose of the present study is to survey the livelihood diversity status and its effects on increasing the resilience of the studied villages.

Methods: The present theoretical study is conducted with applied purposes using the descriptive-analytical method. The required data were collected through library and field (questionnaire and observation) methods and data analysis was done using descriptive statistics (mean and standard deviation) and inferential statistics (Pearson correlation coefficient, single sample t test and path analysis). The research statistical population is the resident households of 21 suburban villages of Dehdasht with 3538 households and using Cochran's formula 358 samples were randomly selected.

Results: The results indicate that, there is a direct and significant relationship between livelihood diversity and rural households' resilience. According to the obtained correlation coefficient (0.934) and the significance level of the test (0.000) it can be stated that the resilience of rural households to droughts is increased with promoting diversified livelihood. The results of path analysis also show that, coordination of institutions with direct impact of 0.108 has the least impact and saving with direct impact of 0.479 has the highest impact on the rural households' resilience in the studied area

Conclusions: Increasing livelihood diversity leads to an increase in the ability of households to deal with changes caused by climate change. Therefore, measures that lead to strengthening livelihood diversity and as a result the resilience of rural households should be among the priorities of rural development programs. Activities such as promoting diverse agricultural techniques, increasing access to insurance facilities, strengthening social capital, upgrading agricultural technologies and promoting optimal use of natural resources can be effective measures to increase livelihood diversity and improve the resilience of rural households.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

sustainable development
Diversity of Economic Activities
Kohgiloyeh and Boyer Ahmad Province
Abebaw, D., Admassie, A., Kassa, H., & Padoch, C. (2020). Can rural outmigration improve household food security? Empirical evidence from Ethiopia. World Development, 129, 104879. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.104879
Adato, M., & Meizen–Dick, R. (2002). Assessing the impact of agricultural research on poverty using the sustainable livelihood approach. http://dx.doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.16074
Adu, D. T., Kuwornu, J. K., Anim-Somuah, H., & Sasaki, N. (2018). Application of livelihood vulnerability index in assessing smallholder maize farming households' vulnerability to climate change in Brong-Ahafo region of Ghana. Kasetsart journal of social sciences, 39(1), 22-32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.kjss.2017.06.009
Alam, G. M., Alam, K., Mushtaq, S., & Leal Filho, W. (2018). How do climate change and associated hazards impact on the resilience of riparian rural communities in Bangladesh? Policy implications for livelihood development. Environmental science & policy, 84, 7-18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2018.02.012
Allison, E. H., & Ellis, F. (2001). The livelihoods approach and management of small-scale fisheries. Marine Policy, 25(5), 377-388. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0308-597X(01)00023-9
Anderson, J., Benfica, R., Berdegué, J., Birner, R., Brooks, K., Bosc, P.-M., Nucci, C. D., Huang, J., Hussein, K., & López, D. (2016). Rural development report 2016: Fostering inclusive rural transformation. International Fund for Agricultural Development. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2016-5844
Anthopoulou, T., Kaberis, N., & Petrou, M. (2017). Aspects and experiences of crisis in rural Greece. Narratives of rural resilience. Journal of Rural Studies, 52, 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2017.03.006
Avila-Foucat, V. S., & Rodríguez-Robayo, K. J. (2018). Determinants of livelihood diversification: The case wildlife tourism in four coastal communities in Oaxaca, Mexico. Tourism Management, 69, 223-231. . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2018.06.021
Bahadur, A., Lovell, E., Wilkinson, E., & Tanner, T. (2015). Resilience in the SDGs: Developing an indicator for Target 1.5 that is fit for purpose. https://eprints.soas.ac.uk/id/eprint/37417
Baird, T. D., & Hartter, J. (2017). Livelihood diversification, mobile phones and information diversity in Northern Tanzania. Land Use Policy, 67, 460-471. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2014.02.002
Berkes, F., Colding, J., & Folke, C. (2008). Navigating social-ecological systems: building resilience for complexity and change. Cambridge university press. https://www.google.com/books/editi.
Birthal, P. S., Negi, D. S., Khan, M. T., & Agarwal, S. (2015). Is Indian agriculture becoming resilient to droughts? Evidence from rice production systems. Food Policy, 56, 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2015.07.005
Bocchiola, D., Brunetti, L., Soncini, A., Polinelli, F., & Gianinetto, M. (2019). Impact of climate change on agricultural productivity and food security in the Himalayas: A case study in Nepal. Agricultural systems, 171, 113-125. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2019.01.008
Campbell, D. (2021). Environmental change and the livelihood resilience of coffee farmers in Jamaica: A case study of the Cedar Valley farming region. Journal of Rural Studies, 81, 220-234. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2020.10.027
Chambers, R., Conway, G., & Studies, B. I. o. D. (1992). Sustainable rural livelihoods: practical concepts for the 21st century (Vol. 296). Institute of development studies Brighton. https://publications.iwmi.org/pdf/H_32821.pdf
Development, I. F. f. A. (2016). Rural Development Report 2016: fostering inclusive rural transformation. In: IFAD Rome (Italy). https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2016-5844
Dinku, A. M. (2018). Determinants of livelihood diversification strategies in Borena pastoralist communities of Oromia regional state, Ethiopia. Agriculture & Food Security, 7, 1-8. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40066-018-0192-2
Enns, C., & Bersaglio, B. (2015). Exploring the implications of oil and gas development for livelihood resilience in Turkana, Kenya. Unpublished working paper. London: Overseas Development Institute. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/280254136
Escarcha, J. F., Lassa, J. A., Palacpac, E. P., & Zander, K. K. (2020). Livelihoods transformation and climate change adaptation: The case of smallholder water buffalo farmers in the Philippines. Environmental Development, 33, 100468. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envdev.2019.100468
Fang, Y.-p., Zhu, F.-b., Qiu, X.-p., & Zhao, S. (2018). Effects of natural disasters on livelihood resilience of rural residents in Sichuan. Habitat international, 76, 19-28. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2018.05.004
Heydari Sarban, V, Majnouni Totakhana, A (2016) The role of livelihood diversity in the resilience of rural households around Lake Urmia against drought, Journal of Spatial Analysis of Environmental Hazards, 3 (4), 49-70. (in Persian) http://dx.doi.org/10.18869/acadpub.
Folke, C. (2006). Resilience: The emergence of a perspective for social–ecological systems analyses. Global Environmental Change, 16(3), 253-26 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.04.002
Islam, M. R. (2018). Climate change, natural disasters and socioeconomic livelihood vulnerabilities: migration decision among the char land people in Bangladesh. Social Indicators Research, 136, 575-593. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-017-1563-y
Jones, L., & Tanner, T. (2017). ‘Subjective resilience’: using perceptions to quantify household resilience to climate extremes and disasters. Regional Environmental Change, 17, 229-243. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-016-0995-2
Keshavarz, M., & Moqadas, R. S. (2021). Assessing rural households' resilience and adaptation strategies to climate variability and change. Journal of Arid Environments, 184, 104323. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2020.104323
Khatun, D., & Roy, B. C. (2016). Rural livelihood diversification in West Bengal: nature and extent. Agricultural Economics Research Review, 29(2), 183-190. https://doi/full/10.5555/20173089606
King, E. G., Nelson, D. R., & McGreevy, J. R. (2019). Advancing the integration of ecosystem services and livelihood adaptation. Environmental Research Letters, 14(12), 124057.DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5519
Krantz, L. (2001). The sustainable livelihood approach to poverty reduction. SIDA. Division for Policy and Socio-Economic Analysis, 44, 1-38. https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Lasse.
Lebel, L., Anderies, J. M., Campbell, B., Folke, C., Hatfield-Dodds, S., Hughes, T. P., & Wilson, J. (2006). Governance and the capacity to manage resilience in regional social-ecological systems. Ecology and Society, 11(1). https://www.jstor.org/stable/26267807
Li, E., Deng, Q., & Zhou, Y. (2022). Livelihood resilience and the generative mechanism of rural households out of poverty: An empirical analysis from Lankao County, Henan Province, China. Journal of Rural Studies, 93, 210-222. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2019.01.005
Liu, W., Li, J., Ren, L., Xu, J., Li, C., & Li, S. (2020). Exploring livelihood resilience and its impact on livelihood strategy in rural China. Social Indicators Research, 150, 977-998. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-020-02347-2
Makate, C., Makate, M., Mango, N., & Siziba, S. (2019). Increasing resilience of smallholder farmers to climate change through multiple adoption of proven climate-smart agriculture innovations. Lessons from Southern Africa. Journal of environmental management, 231, 858-868. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2018.10.069
Marschke, M. J., & Berkes, F. (2006). Exploring strategies that build livelihood resilience: a case from Cambodia. Ecology and Society, 11(1). https://www.jstor.org/stable/26267795
McDowell, J. Z., & Hess, J. J. (2012). Accessing adaptation: Multiple stressors on livelihoods in the Bolivian highlands under a changing climate. Global Environmental Change, 22(2), 342-352. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.11.002
Mekuyie, M., Jordaan, A., & Melka, Y. (2018). Understanding resilience of pastoralists to climate change and variability in the Southern Afar Region, Ethiopia. Climate Risk Management, 20, 64-77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2018.02.004
Mills, D. J., Tilley, A., Pereira, M., Hellebrandt, D., Fernandes, A. P., & Cohen, P. J. (2017). Livelihood diversity and dynamism in Timor-Leste; insights for coastal resource governance and livelihood development. Marine Policy, 82, 206-215. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2017.04.021
Mohammadi Yeganeh, B, Cheraghi, M, Yaripour, A (2016) The Effects of Social Capital in Economic Diversity of Rural Households (Case Study: Zarin Dasht Dehestan- Darrehshahr County). Journal of Rural Planning and Research,5 (4), 1-15.(in Persian) https://ensani.ir/fa/article/368150
Nam, W.-H., Choi, J.-Y., Yoo, S.-H., & Jang, M.-W. (2012). A decision support system for agricultural drought management using risk assessment. Paddy and Water Environment, 10(3), 197-207. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10333-012-0329-z
Nasrnia, F., & Ashktorab, N. (2021). Sustainable livelihood framework-based assessment of drought resilience patterns of rural households of Bakhtegan basin, Iran. Ecological Indicators, 128, 107817. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.107817
Nelson, V., & Stathers, T. (2009). Resilience, power, culture, and climate: a case study from semi-arid Tanzania, and new research directions. Gender & development, 17(1), 81-94. https://doi/abs/10.1080/13552070802696946
Nguyen, K. V., & James, H. (2013). Measuring household resilience to floods: a case study in the Vietnamese Mekong River Delta. Ecology and Society, 18(3). https://www.jstor.org/stable/26.
Nielsen, Ø. J., Rayamajhi, S., Uberhuaga, P., Meilby, H., & Smith Hall, C. (2013). Quantifying rural livelihood strategies in developing countries using an activity choice approach. Agricultural economics, 44(1), 57-71. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1574-0862.2012.00632.x
Niu, G., Zheng, Y., Han, F., & Qin, H. (2019). The nexus of water, ecosystems and agriculture in arid areas: A multiobjective optimization study on system efficiencies. Agricultural Water Management, 223, 105697. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2019.105697
Pour, M. D., Barati, A. A., Azadi, H., & Scheffran, J. (2018). Revealing the role of livelihood assets in livelihood strategies: Towards enhancing conservation and livelihood development in the Hara Biosphere Reserve, Iran. Ecological Indicators, 94, 336-347. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.05.074
Quandt, A. (2018). Measuring livelihood resilience: The household livelihood resilience approach (HLRA). World Development, 107, 253-263. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2018.02.024
Quandt, A., Neufeldt, H., & McCabe, J. T. (2017). The role of agroforestry in building livelihood resilience to floods and drought in semiarid Kenya. Ecology and Society, 22(3). https://www.jstor.org/stable/26270151
Rahman, S., & Akter, S. (2014). Determinants of livelihood choices: An empirical analysis from rural Bangladesh. Journal of South Asian Development, 9(3), 287-308. . https://doi.org/10.1177/0973174114549101
Rahut, D. B., Mottaleb, K. A., & Ali, A. (2018). Rural livelihood diversification strategies and household welfare in Bhutan. The European Journal of Development Research, 30(4), 718-748. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41287-017-0120-5
Reed, M. S., Podesta, G., Fazey, I., Geeson, N., Hessel, R., Hubacek, K., Letson, D., Nainggolan, D., Prell, C., & Rickenbach, M. (2013). Combining analytical frameworks to assess livelihood vulnerability to climate change and analyse adaptation options. Ecological Economics, 94, 66-77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2013.07.007
Romero-Lankao, P., Gnatz, D. M., Wilhelmi, O., & Hayden, M. (2016). Urban sustainability and resilience: From theory to practice. Sustainability, 8(12), 1224. https://doi.org/10.3390/su8121224
Ruknuddin Eftekhari,A, Mousavi, S. M, PourTaheri, M, Farajzadeh Asal, M (2014) Analysis of the role of livelihood diversity in the resilience of rural households in drought conditions, Journal of Rural Research. 5 (3), 639-662. (in Persian) https://doi.org/10.22059/jrur.2014.53186
Santika, T., Wilson, K. A., Meijaard, E., Budiharta, S., Law, E. E., Sabri, M., Struebig, M., Ancrenaz, M., & Poh, T.-M. (2019). Changing landscapes, livelihoods and village welfare in the context of oil palm development. Land Use Policy, 87, 104073. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.104073
Sarker, M. N. I., Wu, M., Alam, G., & Shouse, R. C. (2022). Livelihood diversification in rural Bangladesh: Patterns and determinants in disaster prone riverine islands (Retraction of Vol 96, art no 104720, 2020). In: ELSEVIER SCI LTD THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2022.104719
Sarker, M. N. I., Wu, M., Alam, G. M., & Shouse, R. C. (2020). RETRACTED: Livelihood diversification in rural Bangladesh: Patterns and determinants in disaster prone riverine islands. In: Elsevier. https:// doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.104720
Shojaei Miandoragh, M., Bijani, M., & Abbasi, E. (2020). Farmers' resilience behaviour in the face of water scarcity in the eastern part of Lake Urmia, Iran: an environmental psychological analysis. Water and Environment Journal, 34(4), 611-622. https://doi.org/10.1111/wej.12489
Sina, D., Chang-Richards, A. Y., Wilkinson, S., & Potangaroa, R. (2019). A conceptual framework for measuring livelihood resilience: Relocation experience from Aceh, Indonesia. World Development, 117, 253-265. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.01.003
Smith, L. C., & Frankenberger, T. R. (2018). Does resilience capacity reduce the negative impact of shocks on household food security? Evidence from the 2014 floods in Northern Bangladesh. World Development, 102, 358-376. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.07.003
Solh, M., & van Ginkel, M. (2014). Drought preparedness and drought mitigation in the developing world׳ s drylands. Weather and climate extremes, 3, 62-66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2014.03.003
Speranza, C. I., Wiesmann, U., & Rist, S. (2014). An indicator framework for assessing livelihood resilience in the context of social–ecological dynamics. Global Environmental Change, 28, 109-119. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.005
Su, Y., Xu, J., Wilkes, A., Lu, J., Li, Q., Fu, Y., Ma, X., & Edward Grumbine, R. (2012). Coping with climate-induced water stresses through time and space in the mountains of Southwest China. Regional Environmental Change, 12, 855-866. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-012-0304-7
Talshi, M, Seyed Akhlaghi, S. J (2019) Role of livelihood diversity in rural households resilience against drought risk (Case study: Hablehroud Basin) Iranian Journal of Range and Desert Research ,26 (2), 459-473. (in Persian) https://doi.org/10.22092/ijrdr.2019.119366
Tanner, T., Lewis, D., Wrathall, D., Bronen, R., Cradock-Henry, N., Huq, S., Lawless, C., Nawrotzki, R., Prasad, V., & Rahman, M. A. (2015). Livelihood resilience in the face of climate change. Nature Climate Change, 5(1), 23-26. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2431
Thulstrup, A. W. (2015). Livelihood resilience and adaptive capacity: Tracing changes in household access to capital in Central Vietnam. World Development, 74, 352-362. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.05.019
Walker, B., & Salt, D. (2012). Resilience thinking: sustaining ecosystems and people in a changing world. Island press. https://www.google.com/books/edition/Resilience
Walsh-Dilley, M., Wolford, W., & McCarthy, J. (2016). Rights for resilience: Food sovereignty, power, and resilience in development practice. Ecology and Society, 21(1). https://www.jstor.org/stable/26270348
Wang, P., Qiao, W., Wang, Y., Cao, S., & Zhang, Y. (2020). Urban drought vulnerability assessment–A framework to integrate socio-economic, physical, and policy index in a vulnerability contribution analysis. Sustainable Cities and Society, 54, 102004. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2019.102004
Weldegebriel, Z. B., & Amphune, B. E. (2017). Livelihood resilience in the face of recurring floods: an empirical evidence from Northwest Ethiopia. Geoenvironmental Disasters, 4, 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40677-017-0074-0
World Bank, 2016. World Development Indicators. World Bank, Washington, D.C. Wu, W.W., 2010. Linking Bayesian networks and PLS path modelling for causal analysis. Expert Syst. Appl. 37, 134–139. https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports
Yang, X., Guo, S., Deng, X., & Xu, D. (2021). Livelihood adaptation of rural households under livelihood stress: Evidence from Sichuan Province, China. Agriculture, 11(6), 506. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture11060506
Zhou, W., Guo, S., Deng, X., & Xu, D. (2021). Livelihood resilience and strategies of rural residents of earthquake-threatened areas in Sichuan Province, China. Natural hazards, 106, 255-275. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-020-04460-4

  • تاریخ دریافت 18 خرداد 1405
  • تاریخ اولین انتشار 18 خرداد 1405